Post by slblions08 on Mar 7, 2016 0:25:15 GMT -5
A look back at our non conference schedule (minus Antelope Valley)
Home against CS Fullerton (W)
at UC Irvine (L)
at Colorado State (L)
Home against CS Northridge (W)
at Southeast Missouri State (W)
at Oregon State (L)
Home against UC Riverside (W)
at Boise State (L)
at CS Fullerton (W)
home against Jacksonville State (W)
Currently,
Cal State Fullerton
10-19 overall, 3-13 in the Big West conference. This qualifies for last place. They open up playing top overall seed Hawaii. The Big West is currently topped by Hawaii, UC Irvine and Long Beach State
UC Irvine,
13-3, 24-8
The aforementioned 'Zots are second in the league and will have to beat at least Hawaii and Long Beach State to get into the tourney for a second straight year. Of course, UCSB also lurks. The Big West tourney is always a surprise. Did you know Irvine played at #1 Kansas this year? They lost by 20.
Colorado State
8-10, 16-15
This was an odd year for the Rams, but they are basically middle of the pack in the Mountain West. The MWC has not been as effective this year as in years before. San Diego State bounced back from being blown out by San Diego on a battleship at the start of the season to finish top of the conference. By the way, Max Good's UNLV fired their head coach midseason. They recruited Zimmerman a big recruit but he's been kind of a dud.
CSUN
5-11, 10-20
CSUN led by Reggie Theus has been pretty below average as well, although they finished above Fullerton. Nothing noteworthy here.
SE Mizzou State
2-14, 5-24
They qualified for dead last in the OVC. The OVC was won by Belmont, Tennessee Martin was on the path to winning the tourney, but then 8 seeded Austin Peay rolled into the tourney and will probably be the #64 seed for Kansas.
Oregon State
9-9, 18-11
The Beavers led by Gary Payton II finished middle of the road in the Pac 12 tied with USC (who tailed off at the end) and Washington. The Pac-12 tourney will have to decide some things next week, but they still have a puncher's chance as an at large team
UC riverside
5-11, 14-18
Yet again with another Big West bottom feeder. At least if we finished in the Big West, we could be middle of the conference at least. UC Riverside finished tied with CSUN.
Boise State
11-7, 20-11
The Broncos has an impressive victory over Oregon, a semi impressive victory over UC Irvine and a couple close games against Michigan State and Arizona via the early season tournament. they have a puncher's chance at an NCAA at large.
Jacksonville State
4-12, 8-23
They finished one slot over our fellow OVC opponent, SEMO State. Nothing to see here folks.
So there you have it. Only Oregon State is currently a team in the tourney according to Joe Lunardi's bracketology, and they are the last four in, assuming they win a couple games in the Pac-12 tourney. Boise State could make a run but will need to unseat San Diego State and Fresno State above them. Irvine will have to beat two strong contenders.
Compared to previous years schedules including last year, our non conference sched has been pretty weak. of course, it is hard to predict these things in the offseason, but not participating in a real pre-season tournament was pretty much a dud. Winning against bottom feeder local Big West schools is good to keep telling potential recruits that you're better than those programs, but just being in the WCC should do that. It also doesnt help that UC Irvine jumped as a a program pretty dramatically in the past couple of years since Russell Turney decided to say no to us. Our schedule did nothing to really prepare us for the WCC, and its clear none of the teams we played a style that we would see in the WCC, which is why Dunlap always looked wholly unprepared for his opponents in conference play until the second go around/late in the season.
A big key to going .500 in conference play is at least going around .500 the first go around. I know that sounds obvious but these lousy conference starts are really killing any hope or excitement to build around the program and hurting student attendance. Cal State Long Beach every year plays a ridiculously challenging schedule but they at least end up near the top of the Big West and that gets the kids excited and the team more prepared.
In terms of around So Cal, a few years ago it was pretty arguable that LMU was behind USC and UCLA but had beaten them both within a year. Now, LMU has fallen off. I'd rank so cal team as follows:
UCLA
USC
UC Irvine
Pepperdine
Long Beach State
LMU
Home against CS Fullerton (W)
at UC Irvine (L)
at Colorado State (L)
Home against CS Northridge (W)
at Southeast Missouri State (W)
at Oregon State (L)
Home against UC Riverside (W)
at Boise State (L)
at CS Fullerton (W)
home against Jacksonville State (W)
Currently,
Cal State Fullerton
10-19 overall, 3-13 in the Big West conference. This qualifies for last place. They open up playing top overall seed Hawaii. The Big West is currently topped by Hawaii, UC Irvine and Long Beach State
UC Irvine,
13-3, 24-8
The aforementioned 'Zots are second in the league and will have to beat at least Hawaii and Long Beach State to get into the tourney for a second straight year. Of course, UCSB also lurks. The Big West tourney is always a surprise. Did you know Irvine played at #1 Kansas this year? They lost by 20.
Colorado State
8-10, 16-15
This was an odd year for the Rams, but they are basically middle of the pack in the Mountain West. The MWC has not been as effective this year as in years before. San Diego State bounced back from being blown out by San Diego on a battleship at the start of the season to finish top of the conference. By the way, Max Good's UNLV fired their head coach midseason. They recruited Zimmerman a big recruit but he's been kind of a dud.
CSUN
5-11, 10-20
CSUN led by Reggie Theus has been pretty below average as well, although they finished above Fullerton. Nothing noteworthy here.
SE Mizzou State
2-14, 5-24
They qualified for dead last in the OVC. The OVC was won by Belmont, Tennessee Martin was on the path to winning the tourney, but then 8 seeded Austin Peay rolled into the tourney and will probably be the #64 seed for Kansas.
Oregon State
9-9, 18-11
The Beavers led by Gary Payton II finished middle of the road in the Pac 12 tied with USC (who tailed off at the end) and Washington. The Pac-12 tourney will have to decide some things next week, but they still have a puncher's chance as an at large team
UC riverside
5-11, 14-18
Yet again with another Big West bottom feeder. At least if we finished in the Big West, we could be middle of the conference at least. UC Riverside finished tied with CSUN.
Boise State
11-7, 20-11
The Broncos has an impressive victory over Oregon, a semi impressive victory over UC Irvine and a couple close games against Michigan State and Arizona via the early season tournament. they have a puncher's chance at an NCAA at large.
Jacksonville State
4-12, 8-23
They finished one slot over our fellow OVC opponent, SEMO State. Nothing to see here folks.
So there you have it. Only Oregon State is currently a team in the tourney according to Joe Lunardi's bracketology, and they are the last four in, assuming they win a couple games in the Pac-12 tourney. Boise State could make a run but will need to unseat San Diego State and Fresno State above them. Irvine will have to beat two strong contenders.
Compared to previous years schedules including last year, our non conference sched has been pretty weak. of course, it is hard to predict these things in the offseason, but not participating in a real pre-season tournament was pretty much a dud. Winning against bottom feeder local Big West schools is good to keep telling potential recruits that you're better than those programs, but just being in the WCC should do that. It also doesnt help that UC Irvine jumped as a a program pretty dramatically in the past couple of years since Russell Turney decided to say no to us. Our schedule did nothing to really prepare us for the WCC, and its clear none of the teams we played a style that we would see in the WCC, which is why Dunlap always looked wholly unprepared for his opponents in conference play until the second go around/late in the season.
A big key to going .500 in conference play is at least going around .500 the first go around. I know that sounds obvious but these lousy conference starts are really killing any hope or excitement to build around the program and hurting student attendance. Cal State Long Beach every year plays a ridiculously challenging schedule but they at least end up near the top of the Big West and that gets the kids excited and the team more prepared.
In terms of around So Cal, a few years ago it was pretty arguable that LMU was behind USC and UCLA but had beaten them both within a year. Now, LMU has fallen off. I'd rank so cal team as follows:
UCLA
USC
UC Irvine
Pepperdine
Long Beach State
LMU