Santa Clara has an active board and here is one Bronco's take on tomorrow's game:
"Tip-off: 4pm @ Leavey
TV: NBC Sports California
Line: Torvik- Broncos -4.7, 67% win prob; ESPN- 64% win prob, no line yet.
LMU:
Lions are the surprise team of the season in the WCC. 17-9 overall, 7-5 in the WCC, coming off the big, OT upset of SMC. Lions are currently 1/2 game ahead of the Broncos.
Top players:
6-2 guard Cam Shelton (19.8pts, 5.7rebs, 4.4assists, 35% from 3).
6-6 forward Keli Leaupepe (13.6pts, 6.7rebs, 43% from 3)
6-3 guard Jalin Anderson (10pts, 38% from 3)
6-6 wing Justin Ahrens (7pts, 34% from 3)
6-7 forward Alex Merkviladze (7.6pts, 4rebs, 38% from 3)
In the post: 6-8 forward Michael Graham and 7-1 Rick Issanza are both athletic, not significant scorers but they provide legit size, rebounding, rim protection and post D…all things that LMU lacked last season and IMO a big reason the Lions have been better this year.
One red flag for our Broncos…3pt D has been a problem while the Lions rely heavily on the 3, are 56th in the country in 3pt rate, and shoot it at 37%, ranked mid-30’s in the country. There isn’t 1 or 2 guys carrying them or shooting a boat load of 3’s; 3 pt production is spread over 5 guys who average 1 to 2 made 3’s a game.
Cam Shelton has really stepped up for them and is having a great season. While he’s capable of sinking 3’s, he’s more of slasher, does a great job of getting to the rim and to the FT line. The slashing breaks down the D, forces help and rotation and opens opportunities for kick-outs. I suspect Stewart will get the Def assignment; it’s going to be critical for Stewart to simply stay in front of Shelton and limit his opportunities to get in to the rim.
And a question for the Lions…will the come in playing with energy and confidence after the win over SMC, or will they be a bit emotionally drained and unfocused after the high of that win?
For the Broncos, we need to play a cleaner, more fundamentally sound game…make FT’s at a decent rate, take high quality shots, shoot more consistently. We need to play with urgency and focus throughout the game, not count on Stewart, Podz or Justice going on a late game run to get us the win.
Prediction: 77-73 Broncos in a nail biter.
As has been mentioned, this game is key for the Broncos in pursuit of 3’d place…with only one game vs. LMU, the winner will own the tiebreaker should it come to that. A Bronco loss would drop them 1.5 games behind LMU with only 4 to play."
Pretty fair analysis in my opinion but he/she errs in predicting the outcome.
forum.wakeupswig.com/t/wcc-game-12-lmu/589